Omega Point Blog

Page 2

Sectors Most Exposed to US - China Trade Tensions

June 02, 2019

As US trade news continues to dominate headlines and the market, we'll resume our examination of Chinese and US stocks through the lens of the Exchange Rate Sensitivity factor. This time, we'll be decomposing exposure to this factor in both countries at the sector level, to gain an understanding of what industries are most represented and to see what differences we can identify...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Impact of Trade War in the US

May 26, 2019

Last week we looked at the impact of ongoing US / China trade tensions in the context of Chinese stocks through the lens of the Exchange Rate Sensitivity factor. In doing so, we were able to connect the impact that trade events had on Chinese net exporters and net importers. Today, we'll use the same analysis to examine US exporters/importers in our US model.First, we'll start with...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Impact of the Trade War in China

May 19, 2019

With all eyes on the US - China trade morass, our focus this week will be on seeing if we can empirically evaluate the impact that ongoing trade friction has had on Chinese stocks. We'll do so through the lens of the Exchange Rate Sensitivity factor in our China-specific model. Ultimately, we'll aim to find out if this factor is an effective way to track trade tensions, and to see...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Shrewd Investing Opportunities from Q1 Earnings

May 12, 2019

Over the past couple of weeks, we've examined Growth and Profitability to see the impact that 1Q earnings have had within the Russell 1000. We've now incorporated two more fundamental factors in our analysis - Value and Earnings Yield - to identify 21 companies that have had positive or negative fundamental changes in the past month that the market hasn't priced in yet. These names...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Q1 Earnings Impact on Industries

May 05, 2019

Last week, we shared the companies in the Russell 1000 that had seen the biggest changes in exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability since the beginning of 1Q earnings season. Today, with more earnings in the rearview, we'll run the same analysis at the Industry Group (GICS 2) level in order to see what more we can learn about the market's response to...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Measuring Earnings Impact in Factors

April 28, 2019

Since we're in the thick of earnings season, this week we'll be examining the market's responsiveness to earnings by looking at how company exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability have changed thus far during the 1Q reporting period. Ultimately, we'll highlight the companies in the Russell 1000 that have seen the most movement in their Growth and...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

RAPID RECENT DECLINE IN GLOBAL RISK

April 21, 2019
We hope you've been enjoying the holiday weekend. Today, we'll be examining Total Risk in the global market (using the ACWI as a proxy) to see how it has trended over the past 12 months. Similar to the exercise we ran on the US market last week, we'll seek to further our understanding of the recent market recovery through a global risk lens, and then compare it to the recovery of...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

US Total Risk Remains Elevated

April 14, 2019
This week we'll examine Total Risk in the US over the past 12 months (using the Russell 3000 as a bellwether) to better understand the mechanics of the market's swift recovery from the slump of late 2018. While we typically focus on the drivers of factor and market performance, it's also vital to determine how risk is trending (in particular the correlation between stock and factor...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

What's Driving Volatility & Beta?

April 07, 2019
In light of the substantial rally in the US market over the past week, we'll be refocusing our attention on our US model in order to see how the key Volatility and Market Sensitivity factors have behaved. We'll also attempt to identify what's been driving these factors by decomposing their underlying long and short components.
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Recession-Resilient Stocks Around the World

March 31, 2019
We hope the start of spring has been treating you well. This week, the market digested the implications of an inverted yield curve along with data suggesting the economy has been losing momentum. In light of this, today we'll be using our new Security Search feature to find companies within our worldwide model that are better suited to weather an economic recession and potential...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar