Markets exhibited more strange behavior this week as the war in Ukraine raged on, and the macroeconomic backdrop continued to drive investor sentiment. So this week, we continue to leverage our Surprise Indices to highlight market reaction to current global events. We’ll also extend our analysis to illustrate a practical example of using our Surprise Index framework, combined with additional...
Geopolitical Risk Quant Insight 2022 Ukraine Crisis Multi-factor Analysis Surprise Metric Surprise Characteristics Indices

Geopolitical Risk 2022 Ukraine Crisis Multi-factor Analysis Surprise Metric Surprise Characteristics Indices
Your Exposure to the New Economic Order - Part III
March 20, 2022Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24th, we have leveraged our access to over 150 style and 400 sector factors to measure the market’s reaction. In our last two editions of Factor Spotlight, we introduced our Surprise Metric and our Surprise Characteristics Indices to quantify the significance of factor movements in the market and the sensitivity of assets to this new economic...

Geopolitical Risk 2022 Ukraine Crisis Multi-factor Analysis Surprise Metric Surprise Characteristics Indices
Your Exposure to the New Economic Order - Part II
March 13, 2022For the last two weeks, we have leveraged our access to over 150 style and 400 sector factors to measure the market reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This week, we’ll be providing an update on the significant factor trends we see through the lens of our Surprise Metric.We will also introduce our Surprise Characteristics Indices, which will help quantify the reaction trade's risk and...

Your Exposure to the New Economic Order
March 06, 2022Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has transformed the world in an instant. 1.5 million people have already fled the country, and a 40-mile-long Russian convoy amasses on the outskirts of Kyiv. The humanitarian costs continue to stagger, and our hearts go out to the people of Ukraine. The third round of talks about ending hostilities is planned for this Monday; we can only hope that a cease-fire...

Quantifying the Impact of Russia’s Incursion into Ukraine
February 27, 2022Russia's launch of a long-feared invasion of Ukraine early on Thursday morning marked a significant escalation of the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War, sending shockwaves worldwide and across the global financial markets. Further turmoil seems inevitable as Kyiv braces for a siege, sanctions against Russia cascade, and sovereign rhetoric amplifies. Investors already struggling with inflation, Fed...

Flash Update: Coronavirus & its Impact on Geopolitical Risk
March 01, 2020
This weekly blog, Factor Spotlight, looks to bring issues to our readership that help to give them an edge – whether it is through fresh insights in the market or new ways to use our Omega Point tool to analyze and manage their portfolios.As the markets have been roiled by losses stemming from concerns around COVID-19’s impact on the global economy, we wanted to provide an update on how... |

Geopolitical Risk Portfolio as a Risk Management & Stock Selection Tool
February 09, 2020
In the two weeks since we initiated our multi-part investigation of the Geopolitical Risk Factor (GRF), a distressing escalation in cross-border coronavirus cases is raising alarms and prompting swift action as nations scramble to avert a potential global health crisis. Our thoughts go out to those impacted and to the well being of all global citizens. Meanwhile, this situation... |

Sectors Driving Geopolitical Risk
February 02, 2020
Last week, we introduced the Geopolitical Risk Factor (GRF) and analyzed its performance over the past three years. This week, we decompose this factor into its sector exposures in order to assess whether any specific sectors are associated with positive or negative movements in the factor. |

Quantifying Geopolitical Risk
January 26, 2020
Throughout 2019, geopolitics and trade conflicts were a fixture in the news. Now, as we near the end of the first month of 2020, there remain a number of geopolitical storylines that have yet to play out. These include the contentious Trump impeachment trial and November elections, ongoing turmoil in the Middle East (punctuated by the skirmish with Iran in early January), and... |
