Omega Point Blog

Growth

The Global Search for Growth

March 10, 2019
Continuing our exploration of the worldwide vs. US models, we're starting a series where we'll examine the factor characteristics and trends within broad global indices. This week, we'll start by examining Growth factor trends in key countries to better understand the country selection movements that are likely to follow.
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Comparing Factor Performance in a Global vs. US Model

March 03, 2019
Typically, the factor trends that we observe in Factor Spotlight are based on our US model. This week, we'll be introducing our worldwide model by taking a look at how some of the major factors have behaved on the global level, compared to what we're seeing in the US.
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offensive Recovery Finale — The Model Portfolio

February 24, 2019
Following up on last week's discussion, we conclude our multi-part series on positioning for a potential market recovery, by building and analyzing a model portfolio that internalizes the insights we've gained from prior recoveries. Through the construction of a model portfolio we've uncovered an intuitive insight applicable to the recent recovery so please make sure to read the section...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Contemplating a Recovery: adding the idiosyncratic volatility factor to the mix

February 17, 2019

I hope today's post finds you well and you are enjoying your Presidents' Day weekend. In last week’s Factor Spotlight, we sought to associate changes in fundamental factors—growth and profitability—with net momentum, and found that 77% of the time growth and profitability moved in the same direction, so did net momentum. 

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offense or Defense? Positioning for a Possible Recovery - Part 2

February 10, 2019
Today we continue our analysis of early stage market rebounds with the goal of helping uncover potential offensive and defensive sector strategies that may be useful for investors in the current market. Last week we tried to find commonalities in net momentum across sectors during recovery periods. The idea being that defensive sectors tend to underperform and more cyclical or “growthy”...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factor Spotlight: EOY 2018

December 23, 2018

With the next issue to be published in January, the entire Omega Point team and I would also like to take this opportunity to wish you a peaceful holiday season and New Year filled with happiness and prosperity.

As noted last week, you can now access all past issues of Factor Spotlight on our website, and in this issue we have compiled a list of the top 5 most popular Factor Spotlights of...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Profitability is closer to an inflection point

December 16, 2018

I hope all is well as we head into year-end and the holiday season. Before we dive in this week, I’m thrilled to announce that you can now view current and past issues of Factor Spotlight directly on this blog. You can also filter articles based on keywords to more quickly find specific topics you would like to explore further.

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Dividend Yield & MTM Update

July 26, 2018

Here are a couple of quick updates on some factors that we've discussed in recent weeks.Dividend Yield / Growth Update Last week, we highlighted the Dividend Yield factor in our US model.

  • At the time, our Factor Profile tool had isolated it as being “Extremely Oversold” at -2.24 standard deviations below the historical mean on a normalized basis.
  • Today, this factor sits at -2.31 SD below the...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factor Spotlight: Dividend Yield vs Growth

July 20, 2018

Hope you've been having a good week. I wanted to briefly discuss the Dividend Yield factor in our US model, as our Factor Profile is indicating that it's currently “Extremely Oversold.”

Historically, we've seen Dividend Yield rally when investors have limited alternatives for yield - particularly in a lower rate environment. In a rising yield environment, dividend payments might not be as...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Oil, Gas, & Energy

May 11, 2018

Our Factor Profile tool is currently flagging the Oil & Gas sector in both our equity and macro models as exhibiting "Overbought" conditions. While interesting by itself, there are also implications for other factors that are important to understand and follow. Let's dig in:

 Oil, Gas, & Consumables

  • In the US market, the Oil, Gas, & Consumable Fuels sector factor has seen a strong rally, up 
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar