Omega Point Blog

Growth

Overbought/Oversold Factors Around the World

June 23, 2019

We’ve spent the past couple of weeks focusing on Momentum and Growth (both of which are continuing to revert to the mean on a normalized basis). Today, we’re going to pull back the lens and examine factor trends in our US and Worldwide models, in order to identify some other themes that are playing out right now.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Growth & Momentum Are Now Reverting

June 16, 2019

Last week, we discussed how Growth and Momentum are both overbought in our normalized return framework, and urged caution to managers who are long exposure to those factors (most notably Tech investors). This week, we have an update on how these factors have trended (spoiler alert: Momentum is now reverting) and see what we can learn from historical instances when Growth and...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Tech Investors Take Note: Growth and Momentum Are Overbought

June 09, 2019

Today, we'll be taking a break from examining current trade entanglements through the lens of the Exchange Rate Sensitivity factor. Instead we'll check in on Growth and Medium-Term Momentum, two factors that have seen rapid gains in our normalized return framework over the past few weeks. They've both recently been flagged as Overbought and Extremely Overbought, respectively, and...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Shrewd Investing Opportunities from Q1 Earnings

May 12, 2019

Over the past couple of weeks, we've examined Growth and Profitability to see the impact that 1Q earnings have had within the Russell 1000. We've now incorporated two more fundamental factors in our analysis - Value and Earnings Yield - to identify 21 companies that have had positive or negative fundamental changes in the past month that the market hasn't priced in yet. These names...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Q1 Earnings Impact on Industries

May 05, 2019

Last week, we shared the companies in the Russell 1000 that had seen the biggest changes in exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability since the beginning of 1Q earnings season. Today, with more earnings in the rearview, we'll run the same analysis at the Industry Group (GICS 2) level in order to see what more we can learn about the market's response to...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Measuring Earnings Impact in Factors

April 28, 2019

Since we're in the thick of earnings season, this week we'll be examining the market's responsiveness to earnings by looking at how company exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability have changed thus far during the 1Q reporting period. Ultimately, we'll highlight the companies in the Russell 1000 that have seen the most movement in their Growth and...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

The Global Search for Growth

March 10, 2019
Continuing our exploration of the worldwide vs. US models, we're starting a series where we'll examine the factor characteristics and trends within broad global indices. This week, we'll start by examining Growth factor trends in key countries to better understand the country selection movements that are likely to follow.
Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Comparing Factor Performance in a Global vs. US Model

March 03, 2019
Typically, the factor trends that we observe in Factor Spotlight are based on our US model. This week, we'll be introducing our worldwide model by taking a look at how some of the major factors have behaved on the global level, compared to what we're seeing in the US.
Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offensive Recovery Finale — The Model Portfolio

February 24, 2019
Following up on last week's discussion, we conclude our multi-part series on positioning for a potential market recovery, by building and analyzing a model portfolio that internalizes the insights we've gained from prior recoveries. Through the construction of a model portfolio we've uncovered an intuitive insight applicable to the recent recovery so please make sure to read the section...
Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Contemplating a Recovery: adding the idiosyncratic volatility factor to the mix

February 17, 2019

I hope today's post finds you well and you are enjoying your Presidents' Day weekend. In last week’s Factor Spotlight, we sought to associate changes in fundamental factors—growth and profitability—with net momentum, and found that 77% of the time growth and profitability moved in the same direction, so did net momentum. 

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar