If you want to hedge momentum, just go short Info-Tech and long Energy, correct?
Actually, not so fast.
This strategy may have been somewhat effective in prior markets; however in today’s market, the efficacy of this type of hedging strategy has been rapidly unraveling.
We can see this clearly by looking at the Momentum exposure, using the Wolfe Research QES US Broad risk model of QQQ vs. XLE.
This past week on March 31, the Biden Administration announced the American Jobs Plan, which proposes a $2 trillion plan to invest in US infrastructure. The plan highlights several areas of public investment designed to address the climate and racial inequities that have arisen in part due to an aging national infrastructure and lack of focus on research & development. If passed, the proposed...
In our prior two Factor Spotlights, Who’s Going With the (Momentum) Flow? and Is Momentum Flow Riding the Interest Rate Rollercoaster?, we have explored and analyzed the themes of momentum rotation and interest rates. Based on the many inquiries and portfolio evaluation requests we’ve received since we first published on these topics, we’re encouraged that so many in the investment community are...
Last week, we discussed how much the market's recent drawdown was driven by a factor rotation away from the cyclical factors (Volatility, Market Sensitivity, & Momentum) and into the more defensive factors of Size, Value, & Profitability. Though we've seen a market bounceback in the past week, movements continue to be heavily correlated with the factor rotation, as shown below.
