Omega Point Blog

Interest Rates

All Eyes on Rates & Inflation Amid Rising Recession Concerns

July 17, 2022

Over the past several weeks, we've introduced Extreme Movers, the latest tool in our arsenal to understand what is driving markets from week to week. We also debuted an international version of the Extreme Movers portfolio to help investors compare fluctuating alpha opportunities and factor-driven dynamics between the US and the world. The Extreme Movers portfolios allow us to apply hindsight to...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

Macro Drivers Tumble as Market Starts to Rally

July 10, 2022

Over the past several weeks, we've introduced Extreme Movers, the latest tool in our arsenal to understand what is driving markets from week to week. We also debuted an international version of the Extreme Movers portfolio to help investors compare fluctuating alpha opportunities and factor-driven dynamics between the US and the world. The Extreme Movers portfolios allow us to apply hindsight to...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

The Market Reacts to Inflation with Sector Realignment

June 26, 2022

Over the last month, we've introduced Extreme Movers, the latest tool in our arsenal to understand what is driving markets from week to week. Two week's ago, we debuted an international version of the Extreme Movers portfolio to help investors compare fluctuating alpha opportunities and factor-driven dynamics between the US and the world. The Extreme Movers portfolios allow us to apply hindsight...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

Rate Hikes and Recession Fears Grip Markets

June 19, 2022

Over the last few issues of Factor Spotlight, we've introduced Extreme Movers, the latest tool in our arsenal to understand what is driving markets from week to week. Last week we debuted an international version of the Extreme Movers portfolio to help investors compare fluctuating alpha opportunities and factor-driven dynamics between the US and the world. The Extreme Movers portfolios allow us...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

A Market Flight to Quality

May 15, 2022

Please see our Market Summary and Omega Point's Top Surprise Factors of the week below.The Surprise Metrics measure each factor's return divided by its predicted standard deviation. On a trailing one-week basis and since the invasion on Feb 24, we continue to see multiple standard deviation moves across a broad number of factors that continue to shift each week and are a unique indicator of the...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

The Fed Sparks Panic in the Equity Markets

May 08, 2022

Please see our Market Summary and Omega Point's Top Surprise Factors of the week below.

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

What to Expect from an Inverting Yield Curve

April 03, 2022

Before we kick off our long-awaited follow-up to our Setting the Stage for Upcoming Rate Hikes issue published way back on Feb 20, seemingly eons ago, given how the world has since changed, I'd like to share some related thoughts and make you aware of upcoming changes to our Factor Spotlight newsletter.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Setting the Stage for Upcoming Rate Hikes

February 20, 2022

As inflation continues to skyrocket to 40-year highs and Fed rate hikes remain imminent, investors are finding themselves facing continually rocky markets. Further exacerbating the already tenuous environment, the yield curve has been flattening. Many predict that the curve could even invert, signaling that slowing economic growth could be on the horizon.

Read More
Alyx Flournoy, CFA
Alyx Flournoy, CFA

Quantifying the Impact of an Increasingly Hawkish Fed

January 09, 2022

This week, we’re temporarily pausing our “Where’s the Alpha?” series to help our community analyze the potential impact of the Fed’s hawkish surprise earlier this week.

The Fed’s Dec 14-15 meeting minutes became publicly available on Tuesday, revealing that the Fed intends to accelerate the reduction of the bonds held on its balance sheet. While most observers expected measured rate increases,...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg

Watch the Tails: Expanding our Macro Detection Palette

May 09, 2021

Last week, we delved into ‘when’ macro matters by using the Axioma Macro Projection Model to identify historical periods when macro factors drove US equity volatility. This approach highlighted the Sovereign Debt Crisis in 2012 and the COVID market downturn as periods when macro factors became the leading contributors to volatility in the Russell 1000 Index. We also observed evidence of macro...

Read More
Kevin Wahlberg
Kevin Wahlberg