Omega Point Blog

Momentum

Overbought/Oversold Factors Around the World

June 23, 2019

We’ve spent the past couple of weeks focusing on Momentum and Growth (both of which are continuing to revert to the mean on a normalized basis). Today, we’re going to pull back the lens and examine factor trends in our US and Worldwide models, in order to identify some other themes that are playing out right now.

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Growth & Momentum Are Now Reverting

June 16, 2019

Last week, we discussed how Growth and Momentum are both overbought in our normalized return framework, and urged caution to managers who are long exposure to those factors (most notably Tech investors). This week, we have an update on how these factors have trended (spoiler alert: Momentum is now reverting) and see what we can learn from historical instances when Growth and...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Tech Investors Take Note: Growth and Momentum Are Overbought

June 09, 2019

Today, we'll be taking a break from examining current trade entanglements through the lens of the Exchange Rate Sensitivity factor. Instead we'll check in on Growth and Medium-Term Momentum, two factors that have seen rapid gains in our normalized return framework over the past few weeks. They've both recently been flagged as Overbought and Extremely Overbought, respectively, and...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Comparing Factor Performance in a Global vs. US Model

March 03, 2019
Typically, the factor trends that we observe in Factor Spotlight are based on our US model. This week, we'll be introducing our worldwide model by taking a look at how some of the major factors have behaved on the global level, compared to what we're seeing in the US.
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offensive Recovery Finale — The Model Portfolio

February 24, 2019
Following up on last week's discussion, we conclude our multi-part series on positioning for a potential market recovery, by building and analyzing a model portfolio that internalizes the insights we've gained from prior recoveries. Through the construction of a model portfolio we've uncovered an intuitive insight applicable to the recent recovery so please make sure to read the section...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Contemplating a Recovery: adding the idiosyncratic volatility factor to the mix

February 17, 2019

I hope today's post finds you well and you are enjoying your Presidents' Day weekend. In last week’s Factor Spotlight, we sought to associate changes in fundamental factors—growth and profitability—with net momentum, and found that 77% of the time growth and profitability moved in the same direction, so did net momentum. 

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offense or Defense? Positioning for a Possible Recovery - Part 2

February 10, 2019
Today we continue our analysis of early stage market rebounds with the goal of helping uncover potential offensive and defensive sector strategies that may be useful for investors in the current market. Last week we tried to find commonalities in net momentum across sectors during recovery periods. The idea being that defensive sectors tend to underperform and more cyclical or “growthy”...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offense or Defense? Positioning for a Possible Recovery

February 05, 2019

Today we're kicking off a multi-week analysis of the early stages of market rebounds. One area of focus is the examination of sectors investors might want to focus on, depending on whether they're seeking to get offensive or stay defensive in the market. Thus, today we will be starting our analysis through the lens of sector performance during previous market rebounds. We'll also share a quick...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factor Spotlight: EOY 2018

December 23, 2018

With the next issue to be published in January, the entire Omega Point team and I would also like to take this opportunity to wish you a peaceful holiday season and New Year filled with happiness and prosperity.

As noted last week, you can now access all past issues of Factor Spotlight on our website, and in this issue we have compiled a list of the top 5 most popular Factor Spotlights of...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Profitability is closer to an inflection point

December 16, 2018

I hope all is well as we head into year-end and the holiday season. Before we dive in this week, I’m thrilled to announce that you can now view current and past issues of Factor Spotlight directly on this blog. You can also filter articles based on keywords to more quickly find specific topics you would like to explore further.

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar