Omega Point Blog

Profitability

Shrewd Investing Opportunities from Q1 Earnings

May 12, 2019

Over the past couple of weeks, we've examined Growth and Profitability to see the impact that 1Q earnings have had within the Russell 1000. We've now incorporated two more fundamental factors in our analysis - Value and Earnings Yield - to identify 21 companies that have had positive or negative fundamental changes in the past month that the market hasn't priced in yet. These names...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Q1 Earnings Impact on Industries

May 05, 2019

Last week, we shared the companies in the Russell 1000 that had seen the biggest changes in exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability since the beginning of 1Q earnings season. Today, with more earnings in the rearview, we'll run the same analysis at the Industry Group (GICS 2) level in order to see what more we can learn about the market's response to...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Measuring Earnings Impact in Factors

April 28, 2019

Since we're in the thick of earnings season, this week we'll be examining the market's responsiveness to earnings by looking at how company exposure to the fundamental factors of Growth and Profitability have changed thus far during the 1Q reporting period. Ultimately, we'll highlight the companies in the Russell 1000 that have seen the most movement in their Growth and...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Recession-Resilient Stocks Around the World

March 31, 2019
We hope the start of spring has been treating you well. This week, the market digested the implications of an inverted yield curve along with data suggesting the economy has been losing momentum. In light of this, today we'll be using our new Security Search feature to find companies within our worldwide model that are better suited to weather an economic recession and potential...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offensive Recovery Finale — The Model Portfolio

February 24, 2019
Following up on last week's discussion, we conclude our multi-part series on positioning for a potential market recovery, by building and analyzing a model portfolio that internalizes the insights we've gained from prior recoveries. Through the construction of a model portfolio we've uncovered an intuitive insight applicable to the recent recovery so please make sure to read the section...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Contemplating a Recovery: adding the idiosyncratic volatility factor to the mix

February 17, 2019

I hope today's post finds you well and you are enjoying your Presidents' Day weekend. In last week’s Factor Spotlight, we sought to associate changes in fundamental factors—growth and profitability—with net momentum, and found that 77% of the time growth and profitability moved in the same direction, so did net momentum. 

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Offense or Defense? Positioning for a Possible Recovery - Part 2

February 10, 2019
Today we continue our analysis of early stage market rebounds with the goal of helping uncover potential offensive and defensive sector strategies that may be useful for investors in the current market. Last week we tried to find commonalities in net momentum across sectors during recovery periods. The idea being that defensive sectors tend to underperform and more cyclical or “growthy”...
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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Profitability Lags While Beta & Volatility See Continued Strength

January 20, 2019

This week saw strong market performance amid a cascade of political and economic headlines. Here's an update on the factor story that we continue to find of most vital importance - the interplay between Volatility, Market Sensitivity, and Profitability as it relates to a sustained market recovery.US Market 

 

Our US Market factor (99% correlated to the S&P 500) continued its upwards...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Volatility & Beta Up Big While Profitability Slowly Recovers

January 13, 2019

This week brought with it some mixed news, between the potential jobs impact stemming from the government shutdown, increased optimism over US-China trade, and recent comments from the Fed about the need for “patience”. With regard to factors, we're seeing signals that indicate that we're in the midst of a return to a “risk-on” environment, with Volatility and Market Sensitivity both...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factors Have Rallied Amid Macro Uncertainty

January 06, 2019

I hope you enjoyed the holidays and year-end festivities. Today, we'll provide a factor update spanning the past two weeks, a period characterized by sustained choppiness in the market and mixed economic headlines. Just this week, AAPL dramatically lowered 1Q revenue guidance, citing “economic deceleration,” particularly in China. and the ISM Manufacturing Index's significant December put...

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Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar