Omega Point Blog

Profitability

Profitability is closer to an inflection point

December 16, 2018

I hope all is well as we head into year-end and the holiday season. Before we dive in this week, I’m thrilled to announce that you can now view current and past issues of Factor Spotlight directly on this blog. You can also filter articles based on keywords to more quickly find specific topics you would like to explore further.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Profitability nearing a Bottom

December 09, 2018

After a tumultuous four-day trading week, we wanted to quickly check in on some factors that we've been tracking, and then examine why Profitability is being flagged as “Extremely Oversold,” and compare the current period to previous times of weakness for that factor.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Value vs Earnings Yield

December 02, 2018

I hope those of you in the US enjoyed Thanksgiving weekend with your families while we took a brief hiatus from Factor Spotlight. This week, we'll provide an update on some factors we've been tracking for the past few weeks, as well as dig into an interesting phenomenon that we're observing in the relationship between Earnings Yield and Value.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Risk-Off is back in Demand

November 18, 2018

Thanks to all who braved the weather to attend the Learn2Quant conference in New York on Friday. For those unable to make it, I'll share the slides from my presentation on "How to be Factor Aware” once they're available.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Post Midterms: Quality Back in Demand

November 11, 2018

Before we jump into this week's Factor Spotlight, I wanted to let you know that I will be at Learn2Quant New York on Friday, November 16, where I will be leading a session on "How to be Factor Aware" alongside Axioma's Melissa Brown. If you're in NYC this upcoming week, we hope you can attend.

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Short Squeeze or Sustainable Rebound

November 04, 2018

This week's market rally has resulted in pundits pointing towards a recovery due to better-than-expected corporate earnings and a softening of the trade war between the US and China. In our conversations with clients, we're hearing a lot of speculation about whether or not this is a legitimate bounce in the market or simply a short squeeze in the wake of the broad selloff of the past several...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Profitability is Inflecting

September 28, 2018

In the past couple of months, we've highlighted how Profitability (a component of Quality), has been Oversold relative to its long-term trend. 

As a reminder, Profitability is a combination of return-on-equity, return-on-assets, cash flow to assets, cash flow to income, gross margin, and sales-to-assets.

Over time, the risk premia for Profitability has been strongly positive (see below), but...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factor Spotlight: Profitability

September 14, 2018

Happy Friday. This week we're going to discuss how Profitability (a component of Quality) is Oversold in both our US and Global models, and provide an update on Medium-Term Momentum (which we had flagged as Overbought last week).

Profitability If you recall our Factor Spotlight note on 4/26/18, we introduced Profitability as a key proxy for Quality. Profitability is a combination of...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Factor Spotlight: Earnings Yield & Profitability

August 09, 2018

Hope your week is going well. Today, I wanted to highlight recent trends in the two key components of what is referred to as "Quality" - the Earnings Yield and Profitability factors.Our Factor Profile tool is currently indicating that Earnings Yield and Profitability are reaching simultaneous inflection points in our US model. As I'll show below, historically both of these factors have very...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar

Long Term factor trends

May 18, 2018

We've received some great questions about our overbought/oversold indicators (please keep them coming!). One that I wanted to discuss this week is: "Why is it that when a factor is `Oversold`, we don't always see a major decrease in the return for that factor as it reverts?" In other words, sometimes we highlight a factor as Oversold when in reality its cumulative returns are not actually...

Read More
Omer Cedar
Omer Cedar